Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Beginning 2010

Wall Street has formed a fairly solid consensus that corporate earnings will spike in 2010. This may well be true, but stock prices may have already priced this in.

Mark Gongloff in WSJ " The forecast of Wall Street Analysts is that companies in the S&P 500 will earn 77.54 per share averaged , which would imply a 30% gain from 2009. Numbers will vary on this, but it all comes down to the S&P 500 is now trading at 15 times earnings (the most optimistic of an forecast)"

So, slow steady economic growth. Thicker margins, as companies will be slow to rehire (higher unemployment rate), the new $30 billion in tax breaks for businesses will help, and most importantly exactly half of the S &P 500 will derive its income globally, not in the U.S. by mid 2010.

You can be sure companies that are cash rich will start buying back shares. This will boost earnings per share.

Today we would like to share with you the results of our 2009 Stock Portfolio Performance. Remember, we recommend selling in Floydian 1/3's, which is to sell 1/3 at 20 to 30% profit, the second third at 40 to 50% profit, and to hold the final third.

We also believe in "bottom buying", which is adding to a position aggressively on downturns, if the position itself maintains viabilitiy, and is just caught in a downturn.

This has allowed Blue Chip Options to achieve some excellent results in 2009. All of our holdings are always updated regularly on the website, in our Floydian Shifty Fifty document, and in constantly updated stock charts.

Remember, we've just added 10 new videos to the website on pnf charting.


Option Traders: We see two way trades on all the indices this week. Buy January ITM call and put, making a larger second buy to the first losing signal. Try to buy the opposing signal at least 20% below prior day close. Stop Losses: End of this week.
Take reasonable, not greedy profits and you could two way trade this week.

Sunday, January 3, 2010

New Years Thoughts

The U.S. stock market is poised to end the year with a comeback of historic proportions, with the Dow up 61% from its March nadir and 20% on the year as a whole.

The WSJ says this, with the headline: 2009: Banner Year for Stocks. Within the article, a key line " many mom and pop investors, who were badly burned by the stock market collapse, remain wary. As of the end of November, stock mutual funds had suffered a outflow this year of $4 billion. By contrast there has been a inflow of 2.84 billion into taxable bond mutual funds"

Simply put, this meteoric rise has been done on lesser than volume with the influx of the flight to "safety". This means there is much more money that could go into the market.

Of the many Happy News Years that were exchanged this past Friday, I'd like to share my favorite rant, as it will lead to my concern on the disparity in this country.

I'm at my in-law's being forced to watch the Fox news channel "all american new year show." Its kinda phckd up. It reminds me of watching a cheesy movie from the 90's called Starship Troopers. There's so much propaganda, it's laced throughout the programming. I don't watch allot of TV, so maybe this is just what the media crams down the public's mental throat on a daily basis, but this scht is just bizarre. Call me un-patriotic, but I just get the feeling that I'm being corporately programmed. Some guy was just on there spouting off about how America brought the world everything good, the first freedom known to man. What a bunch if pig-headed buhlschiht. It looks like they have this scrolling marque on the bottom of the screen for people to text message their new years greetings to the world. Somebody felt the need to text some schit about "freedom from arrogant government control."

This country is truly in trouble.

Anyway. Happy phcking new year!

MR

It says it all to me. There will be responses that Fox is the only "reputable" news channel, and somehow we've gone from a country united to change, and in desperate need of, over a year ago, to a country that is improving and coming out of recession, but even more caught in in-fighting, lobbying, and stupidity from the 540 in Congress.

“Great spirits have always encountered violent opposition from mediocre minds – Albert Einstein

Inverse Funds ETFS Option Trading

Short Term ETF Inverse 2 or 3 X Funds

Option Trades only

http://247wallst.com/2009/07/07/quantifying-triple-leverage-etf-performance-vs-target-index-fas-faz-bgu-bgz-erx-ery/

Direction 3X Bull or Bear Large Cap Stock ETF

Symbol: BGU

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Symbol: BGZ

http://www.direxionshares.com/etf/lc_bull_3x_shares.html

Dirextion 3X Russell 1000 Index Stock ETF- 3X BULL

Symbol: FAS

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Dirextion 3X Russell Index Stock ETF-3XBEAR

Symbol: FAZ

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Rationale: Dirextion Funds take real study. These are VERY HIGH risk, and NOT suitable to any long term trading, but can be hugely profitable (or massive losses) on trading bull or bear 3X funds AS OPTIONS, increasing the risk/reward ratio.

Guidance: Traders at www.bluechipoptions.com will learn our entire strategy with these funds, which invest in either Bull or Bear Large Cap Blue Chips (BGU or BGZ) or in the entire Russell 1000, reflecting a more diverse market ( FAS, or FAZ)